De De Pyaar De 2, Thamma, Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat: Pinkvilla's First Day Box Office Forecast

Diwali 2025 is shaping up to be a high-stakes moment for Bollywood, with three notable releases putting the box office under the spotlight. As Thamma and Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat hit theatres during the festive rush and De De Pyaar De 2 gears up for its November debut, Pinkvilla’s first-day box office forecasts offer sharp insight into audience mood, genre trends, and post-pandemic viewing behavior.

Diwali Box Office 2025: Why This Three-Film Clash Is Crucial

For decades, Diwali has been Bollywood’s most decisive theatrical window. A strong opening during this period can set the tone for a film’s entire run, while a weak start can be difficult to recover from. In 2025, the festive weekend becomes even more interesting due to the variety of films competing for audience attention.

This season brings together three very different cinematic offerings:

Thamma, a large-scale commercial entertainer designed for mass appeal
Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat, a romantic drama targeting youth and urban viewers
De De Pyaar De 2, a sequel to a popular comedy franchise

The diversity of genres makes this clash a real test case for how Indian audiences are choosing films today—especially after OTT platforms have reshaped viewing habits.

Pinkvilla Predicts: Understanding the First Day Box Office Forecasts

Pinkvilla’s box office predictions are based on several measurable factors rather than surface-level hype. These include:

Advance booking trends
Number of screens and show allocations
Star power and past box office performance
Genre relevance in the current market
Historical data from similar releases

Together, these elements help create a grounded estimate of what each film can realistically earn on its opening day.

First Day Box Office Forecast Table

Release Date	Film Title	Low-End Forecast	High-End Forecast	Pinpoint Forecast
21 Oct 2025	Thamma	₹18.00 Cr	₹22.00 Cr	₹20.00 Cr
21 Oct 2025	Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat	₹7.00 Cr	₹10.00 Cr	₹10.00 Cr
14 Nov 2025	De De Pyaar De 2	₹7.00 Cr	₹11.00 Cr	₹8.00 Cr

The numbers reveal a clear hierarchy—Thamma leading from the front, Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat fighting screen limitations, and De De Pyaar De 2 aiming for a steady, respectable opening.

Thamma: The Strongest Bet of Diwali 2025

Why Thamma Is Leading the Race

Among the three films, Thamma appears best positioned to dominate the Diwali box office. Pinkvilla’s pinpoint forecast of ₹20 crore reflects strong confidence driven by the film’s wide appeal and strategic release planning.

Unlike niche or urban-focused films, Thamma caters to a broad audience base. Its genre, presentation, and festive timing align perfectly with Diwali movie-going traditions.

Key Advantages Fueling Thamma’s Opening

Strong appeal across both urban and rural markets
Family-friendly content ideal for festive outings
Extensive release in multiplexes and single-screen theatres
Consistent advance bookings rather than erratic spikes

Diwali is known for high walk-in footfall, especially from families and casual moviegoers. Thamma is designed precisely to attract this audience, giving it a major edge over its competitors.

Box Office Strengths at a Glance

Dominant presence in single screens
Appeal across multiple age groups
Genre suited for holiday viewing
High potential for positive word of mouth

Even without record-breaking pre-sales, the film’s steady momentum makes it the safest bet for a top opening day during the festival.

Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat: Strong Interest, Limited Reach

Youth Appeal and Growing Buzz

Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat has managed to create genuine excitement, particularly among younger audiences and metro-city viewers. The film’s romantic theme, combined with decent promotional traction, has translated into encouraging advance bookings.

Pinkvilla’s pinpoint forecast of ₹10 crore confirms that audience interest is very much present.

What’s Working for the Film

Healthy pre-release buzz
Strong youth connect
Romantic storyline with modern appeal
Music generating recall on digital platforms

In a less crowded release window, these factors could have pushed the film to an even stronger opening.

The Major Roadblock: Screen Availability

Despite positive buzz, the film faces a serious challenge—limited screen allocation. With Thamma commanding most single-screen theatres, Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat relies heavily on multiplexes for its collections.

Impact on Opening Day Numbers

Fewer shows restrict earning potential
High occupancy may not fully be reflected in collections
Opening figures could underestimate true demand

If the film opens below ₹10 crore, it would reflect distribution constraints rather than audience rejection. Its long-term performance will depend heavily on word of mouth and weekday hold.

De De Pyaar De 2: Testing the Comedy-Sequel Formula

Returning to Theatres in a New Era

Scheduled for release on 14 November 2025, De De Pyaar De 2 arrives with the goodwill of a successful predecessor. The original 2019 film surprised many by collecting close to ₹95 crore nett in India and opening at around ₹8 crore—strong numbers for a mid-budget romantic comedy.

However, the theatrical environment has evolved significantly since then.

Pinkvilla’s Opening Day Estimate

Pinpoint forecast: ₹8 crore
Expected range: ₹7–11 crore

These figures suggest cautious optimism rather than inflated expectations.

Factors Supporting the Sequel

Ajay Devgn’s dependable box office pull
Growing audience preference for sequels
Positive response to the trailer
Familiar humor and characters

Ajay Devgn’s recent sequel successes like Drishyam 2 and Raid 2 further strengthen confidence, even though De De Pyaar De 2 operates in a lighter, urban space.

Challenges Facing the Film

Romantic comedies face tough competition from OTT platforms
Reduced urgency to watch such films in theatres
Music is yet to become a chart-topping phenomenon

In today’s market, an ₹8 crore opening would still be seen as a solid and respectable start for this genre.

What These Box Office Forecasts Say About Bollywood Today

1. Mass Entertainers Still Dominate Festivals

Big, crowd-friendly films continue to enjoy an advantage during festive releases, as seen with Thamma.

2. Romance and Comedy Need Strong Backing

Films like Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat and De De Pyaar De 2 require:

Better screen penetration
Strong audience recommendations
Consistent weekday collections

3. Sequels Offer a Safety Net

Audiences are more inclined to try sequels than original mid-budget films, provided the first installment left a positive impression.

Key Takeaways

Thamma is expected to comfortably top the Diwali opening-day charts
Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat shows promise but faces screen-related limitations
De De Pyaar De 2 is aiming for stability rather than blockbuster numbers
Screen count and genre choice matter more than promotional hype

Conclusion

Pinkvilla’s first-day box office forecasts for Thamma, Ek Deewane Ki Deewaniyat, and De De Pyaar De 2 offer a realistic snapshot of Bollywood’s current theatrical dynamics. While Thamma looks set to dominate the festive weekend, the other two films underline shifting audience priorities and evolving genre performance. Together, these releases make Diwali 2025 a defining moment for Hindi cinema’s future box office strategies.